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Cardano Price Prediction as $475 Million Trading Volume Comes In – ADA to the Moon?

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02 Nov 2022 · 3 min read
John Isige @john-isige
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Cardano Price Prediction as $475 Million Trading Volume Comes In – ADA to the Moon?​

cardano-1.jpg


Cardano price appears to have triggered massive sell positions after it failed to rise above resistance at $0.4400. The smart contract platform bowed to increasing overhead pressure as investors locked in profits. ADA must reclaim immediate support at $0.4000; otherwise, its leg may stretch to $0.3730 before bulls get another chance to push prices higher again.

Cardano Price Trading Volume Explodes Ahead of The Fed's Interest Rate decision​


The US Fed (Federal Reserve) will announce the much-awaited interest rate decision on Wednesday. Market participants are waiting with bated breaths to see whether the regulator will continue the interest rate hike streak that has lasted for months this year amid calls to control inflation.

A 0.75% increase in interest rates would mean tougher times ahead, with investors likely staying clear of riskier assets like cryptos. However, the crypto market has become resilient over the past few months. Hence, massive price drops remain doubtful, with some experts predicting a possible pump.

Cardano Price Prediction​


Although ADA's trading volume averages between $450 million and $500 million, it mostly constitutes selling pressure. Moreover, technical insights from the eight-hour timeframe chart reveal that sellers have the reins, at least for now.

The outlook for Cardano flipped bearish immediately after the price bounced off resistance at $0.4400 – an area reinforced by the 200-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) (in purple).

A rising wedge pattern worsened the situation for the bulls, who have resolved to wait for a trend reversal at a lower price level. A break below the lower trend line of the pattern confirms the bearish move, like in the case of Cardano price, as shown in the chart below.

adausd-2022-11-02-13-18-04.jpg

ADA/USD eight-hour chart

Sell orders entered marginally below the wedge and immediately turned profitable. ADA now trades below the 100-day EMA (in blue) and the 50-day EMA (in red). A 9.06% move to $0.3730 is anticipated below the breakout point. This profit target equals the distance between the widest points of the wedge pattern and is extrapolated downward from the breakout position.

Looking at other indicators like the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and the RSI (Relative Strength Index), Cardano price will remain generally bearish in the upcoming sessions, especially on Wednesday.

The MACD confirmed a sell signal on Monday as the 12-day EMA (in blue) crossed below the 26-day EMA (in red). As observed, both lines are trending toward the mean line and indicate rising selling pressure.

Similarly, the RSI affirms the bears' tight grip with its negative divergence from the price. The index's movement below the midline implies that sellers have the upper hand.

Key Fundamental Influencing Cardano Price Retracement​


Most ADA addresses have been profitable since October 25, when the MVRV (Market Value realized Value) climbed above 1, as seen in the chart below. This metric from Santiment tracks the profit or loss of ADA holders by comparing the price at which the tokens last moved and their current market value.

An MVRV ratio above 1 suggests that most holders are realizing profits and are likely to sell, which explains the Cardano price pullback as soon as the index topped 8.8 on October 29. The MVRV holds at 3.65 at the time of writing which hints at the bearish leg extending further down.

cardano-ada-13-33-19-02-nov-2022.jpg

Cardano MVRV ratio | Tradingview

A section of Cardano whales are still not convinced that Cardano is ready to change its course to the upside in light of the 2022 bear market run. Addresses with between 100,000 and 1,000,000 ADA tokens are now 20,600 after dropping from a 30-day peak of 20,777. Despite the bulls' effort to push Cardano price higher, this cohort's selling spree may suppress price action to the upside.

cardano-ada-13-40-35-02-nov-2022.jpg

Cardano Supply Distribution | Santiment

Most analysts agree that Cardano price has hit a stumbling block and is inclined to retreat before rebounding again. Andrew Griffiths told his followers on Twitter that he is anticipating a bearish continuation.

As Cardano Price Retreats, Consider Dash 2 Trade​


Dash 2 Trader is a world-class crypto analytics and social trading platform that plans to make it easier for investors to make informed decisions using actionable market data. At the center of the Dash 2 Trade ecosystem is D2T – an ERC-20 token built on the Ethereum PoS blockchain.

Users on this platform have an opportunity to develop and test trading strategies that allow them to take advantage of opportunities in the market. Moreover, a social trading system allows traders to share ideas that help them and others to make the most out of the crypto market.

Dash 2 Trade is currently in the presale stage, offering some of the most interesting opportunities in the crypto space. So far, the team has more than $4 million out of the $5.1 million expected in D2 T's current presale stage. D2T currently sells for 0.05 USDT, but this price will go up to 0.051 in the subsequent presale stage.

Visit Dash 2 Trade Now


 

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